Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2023

Updated May 28, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (6.8).
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Max Strus has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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