Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 21, 2023

Updated May 22, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.7 treys per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for threes; when the Celtics are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 25th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.2%).
The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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