Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 19, 2023

Updated May 20, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has converted 46.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 12.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this season on the road.
Max Strus has attempted 8.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage as it relates to attempts from downtown.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one for threes; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 12th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.8%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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