Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/17/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 17, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 5:26 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from downtown.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against Boston is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.1%).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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