Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-186/+144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -186.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 7.0 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Bucks are at home, opposing starting SGs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.5%).
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Max Strus has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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