Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has sunk 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Max Strus has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
This matchup is a positive one for 3-pointers; their opposition have shot for the 3rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (38.2%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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