Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has tallied an impressive 29.3 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 24.1 minutes per game last year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Max Strus has failed to convert 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 4.1 rate last year.
Max Strus has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Miami Heat have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup against Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a difficult one for three-point shots; when squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have tallied a measly 1.6 threes per game (3rd percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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