Max Strus Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+129/-179).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -179.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has posted 3.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best by this metric over this stretch of games: 82nd percentile.
Max Strus has tallied a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 28.4 minutes per game last season.
The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Max Strus lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Bulls (preserving possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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