Max Strus Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has averaged 4.2 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this standard in recent games: 85th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Max Strus slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Max Strus will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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