Matas Buzelis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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Matas Buzelis

NBA · Player Props

Matas Buzelis

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 2:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Matas Buzelis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-134/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Matas Buzelis has registered 20.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's registered in all games this season.
When it comes to shooting, the Bulls's fantastic 115.8 points per game when playing at home measures as the 8th-best in the NBA over the last 14 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have put up 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
The Thunder have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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