Matas Buzelis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2026

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Matas Buzelis

NBA · Player Props

Matas Buzelis

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Jan 29, 2026

Updated Jan 30, 2026 4:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Matas Buzelis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shooting, the Bulls's exceptional 120.0 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Chicago Bulls.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Heat, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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