Matas Buzelis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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Matas Buzelis

NBA · Player Props

Matas Buzelis

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 17, 2025 3:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Matas Buzelis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Matas Buzelis has converted 62.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 19.8% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Matas Buzelis has successfully made 54.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 19.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Matas Buzelis has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 14.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%).

Favors Under

The Bulls are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

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