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Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Matas Buzelis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Matas Buzelis has converted 53.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 8.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season on his home court.

Matas Buzelis has successfully made 47.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

Matas Buzelis has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 more than he's played in all games this year.

With respect to shooting, the Chicago Bulls's excellent 125.7 points per game places best in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Heat).

The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

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