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Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

Matas Buzelis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Matas Buzelis has successfully made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Matas Buzelis has been on the court for 27.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from home, 9.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.

In terms of offense, the Bulls's stellar 117.8 points per game as the road team places 5th-most in the NBA this year.

The 2nd-speediest pace visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Matas Buzelis has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).

The Bulls rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Matas Buzelis will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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