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Matas Buzelis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Matas Buzelis has attempted 11.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.Matas Buzelis has tallied 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season.In regard to offense, the Bulls's outstanding 117.8 points per game as the away team rates 5th-most in the league this year.This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup.The 2nd-most up-tempo pace away team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Matas Buzelis has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed over the course of the season.The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bulls.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 5thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.Matas Buzelis will likely suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.
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