Mason Plumlee Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Mason Plumlee

NBA · Player Props

Mason Plumlee

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Mason Plumlee Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a strong one for field goals; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 60.9% of their field goals (83rd percentile).
The Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Myles Turner is a strong one for drawing fouls; when Turner is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.2 free throws per game (86th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Mason Plumlee comes in at the 5th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a weak 0.0% rate this year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The least up-tempo tempo road team in the league this year has been the Suns.
Mason Plumlee has sunk a measly 60.2% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 67.9 mark last year.
Mason Plumlee will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.

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