Mason Plumlee Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Mason Plumlee

NBA · Player Props

Mason Plumlee

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Mason Plumlee Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-pointers; when Adebayo is at home other starting Cs this year, they have converted an enormous 52.2% of their treys (96th percentile).
The Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Mason Plumlee lands in the 4th percentile for three-point efficiency with a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Mason Plumlee has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when Adebayo is playing at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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