Mason Plumlee Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2024

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Mason Plumlee

NBA · Player Props

Mason Plumlee

F-C · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 30, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 1:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Mason Plumlee Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mason Plumlee has made 67.4% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Suns have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Suns will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Warriors).
Mason Plumlee will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production across the board.

Favors Under

The rate of threes converted against Trayce Jackson-Davis has been quite low (14.5%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Mason Plumlee has sunk just 52.3% of his free throws this season, significantly lower than his 67.9 mark last season.

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