Mason Plumlee Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Mason Plumlee

NBA · Player Props

Mason Plumlee

F-C · LA Clippers

Points

Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Mason Plumlee Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mason Plumlee has made 70.3% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
In regard to shooting, the Clippers's terrific 122.0 points per game rates 4th-strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one for shots from downtown; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 47.3% of their three-pointers (100th percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the LA Clippers.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Daniel Gafford has been quite high this year (4.0 free throw attempts per game when they are on the away squad: 97th percentile).

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
This year, opposing clubs have snagged 12.9 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (lengthening possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Relative to last season's 67.1% mark, Mason Plumlee's free-throw prowess has fallen this season to 55.1%.
Mason Plumlee will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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