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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2024

Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA at home over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
  • The rate of three-point shots sunk against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (48.9%) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (89th percentile).
  • The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
  • The Washington Wizards are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs).
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have grabbed 10.4 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Spurs (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has attempted a lowly 0.2 3-pointers per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.6 mark last year.
  • Marvin Bagley III has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (83rd percentile).
  • This year, their opposition has tallied 14.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Spurs, designating this as a strong matchup.
  • The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Marvin Bagley III has sunk 56.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.6% lower than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

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