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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Marvin Bagley III lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point ability playing at home with a a phenomenal 50.0% rate this year.
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Marvin Bagley III is expected to see a rise in output for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has attempted a mere 0.2 three-point shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.6 rate last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Marvin Bagley III places in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. John Collins is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.0 shots from downtown per game (7th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
  • The Utah Jazz have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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