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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has converted 57.6% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Marvin Bagley III has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 18th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
  • The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
  • The Pistons will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Hawks).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has attempted 0.2 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 1.0 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, identifying this as a hard matchup.
  • At home, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Marvin Bagley III ought to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

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