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Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons

Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Marvin Bagley III comes in at the 90th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a an impressive 57.8% rate this year.

This year, the other team's starting Cs have totaled 12.1 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Pistons will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marvin Bagley III has attempted 0.3 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.

With respect to shooting, the Detroit Pistons's poor 103.8 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the most offensive boards per game (15.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Marvin Bagley III ought to experience a decrease in performance across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More Marvin Bagley III Player Props

Marvin Bagley III PointsPlayer Prop - 12/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023