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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has made a terrific 63.2% of his field goals this season, a big improvement over his 50.0 rate last season.
  • Marvin Bagley III has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 18.4 points per game (29th-most in the league) against the Pacers, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
  • The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
  • The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has successfully made just 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 28.5 rate last season.
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
  • While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Marvin Bagley III ought to experience a decrease in output across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

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