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Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In contrast to last season's 50.0% clip, Marvin Bagley III's scoring ability has risen this season to 63.9%.Marvin Bagley III has sunk an impressive 50.0% of his attempts from downtown this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.7 mark last season.The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 23.1 rate, Marvin Bagley III's playing time has decreased this year to 18.7 minutes per game.Compared to last season's 0.0 rate, Marvin Bagley III's technical fouls have spiked this season to 0.2 per game.In terms of shooting, the Pistons's subpar 110.0 points per game comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for field goals; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest FG% in the league this year (46.6%).The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
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