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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has sunk a terrific 63.3% of his field goals this season, a big improvement over his 50.0 rate last season.
  • Marvin Bagley III has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has shot 43.8% on field goal attempts (4th-worst in the league) against the Cavaliers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
  • The Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Pistons are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 6 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Marvin Bagley III places in the 23rd percentile for playing time, tallying a mere 18.0 minutes per game this year.
  • The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.
  • The Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted a massive 24.5 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).
  • Marvin Bagley III will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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