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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 50.0% clip, Marvin Bagley III's shooting effectiveness has jumped this season to 63.4%.
  • Marvin Bagley III has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
  • The matchup against Chicago is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Bulls are playing at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
  • The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last season's 23.1 rate, Marvin Bagley III's playing time has regressed this season to 18.0 minutes per game.
  • The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year (the Bulls).
  • The Chicago Bulls have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Marvin Bagley III is expected to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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