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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has made 4.8 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, the other team has collected 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).
  • Relative to last year's 67.2% mark, Marvin Bagley III's foul-shot efficiency has increased this year to 79.9%.
  • This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted just 20.5 foul shots per game when the Heat are playing at home this year (3rd-least in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 110.3 points per game playing at home settles in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
  • This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (36.3).
  • The 9th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • Marvin Bagley III will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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