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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. the Pacers is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games (31.7).
  • The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
  • The Detroit Pistons rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Marvin Bagley III has converted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has converted 22.7% of his treys while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Detroit Pistons rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Pacers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Pacers are at home, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 26.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

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