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Marvin Bagley III

Marvin Bagley III Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Marvin Bagley III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has converted 6.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made over the course of the year.
  • Marvin Bagley III has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
  • The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.7).
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Bagley III has successfully made 25.3% of his three-point shots on the road this year, putting him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Marvin Bagley III has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.5 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
  • The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).

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