Markelle Fultz Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has tallied 1.3 offensive rebounds per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to raise possessions for the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz figures to see an increase in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has averaged a measly 24.2 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 29.6 minutes per game last year.
Markelle Fultz has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Magic.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Suns (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

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