Markelle Fultz Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has put up 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch of games.
Markelle Fultz has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
The Wizards have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Magic.
The Wizards have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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