Markelle Fultz Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has posted 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 81st percentile.
Markelle Fultz has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
The Grizzlies have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Magic.
The Grizzlies have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.

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