Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has attempted 10.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a strong matchup for offensive efficiency.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 10.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Markelle Fultz measures in the 11th percentile for three-point prowess with a subpar 18.1% rate this year.
Markelle Fultz has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.
In regard to offense, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 106.0 points per game when playing away from home places 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Orlando Magic.

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