Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 33.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Magic have been very successful at drawing fouls: 3rd-best in the league this year, averaging 25.9 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against Chicago is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Bulls are away from home (22nd-most in the league).
Markelle Fultz will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has attempted a measly 8.3 shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.3 mark last season.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 13.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Magic are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
The Magic rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).