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Markelle Fultz

Markelle Fultz Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Markelle Fultz has converted a mere 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a sizeable decrease from his 26.2 mark last season.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

Relative to last season's 78.1% rate, Markelle Fultz's foul-shot effectiveness has regressed this season to 50.0%.

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