Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-129/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a good one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The Magic will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (23rd-most in the league) against the Spurs, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 26.2% mark, Markelle Fultz's three-point proficiency has tailed off this year to 0.0%.
Markelle Fultz has attempted a mere 0.2 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.5 rate last year.
Markelle Fultz has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Magic.

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