Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (22.8).
The Magic have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have captured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 26.2% mark, Markelle Fultz's three-point prowess has decreased this year to 0.0%.
Markelle Fultz has attempted just 0.3 3-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.5 rate last season.
Markelle Fultz has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.

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