Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
Markelle Fultz will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has converted just 0.0% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable decrease from his 26.2 rate last year.
In contrast to last season's 29.6 mark, Markelle Fultz's playing time has dropped this season to 24.0 minutes per game.
Markelle Fultz has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

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