Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has averaged a mere 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Magic.
As a team, the Magic have been terrific at drawing fouls recently: best in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 27.1 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 21.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (8th-least in the league).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 26.2% mark, Markelle Fultz's three-point performance has declined this year to 0.0%.
Compared to last season's 1.5 mark, Markelle Fultz's shot attempts from downtown have regressed this season to 0.3 per game.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks (retaining possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).

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