Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has made 5.6 shots made from the field per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a measly 20.8 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the league).

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has converted 25.1% of his three-pointers since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have shot 38.3% on threes (5th-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
The Magic rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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