Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Markelle Fultz has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Orlando Magic have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (24.2).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Pistons have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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