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Markelle Fultz

Markelle Fultz Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Markelle Fultz has attempted 11.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Miami may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are away from home (29th-most in the league).

Markelle Fultz will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Markelle Fultz has converted 25.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Miami is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (28.7%).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Magic.

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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