Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has attempted 11.8 shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
The matchup against the Jazz is a strong one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs since the start of last season (19.6).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Jazz have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Jazz is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has sunk 25.0% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the league.
The Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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