Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (20.0).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz has converted 84.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has made 0.2 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

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