Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has converted 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made in all games this year.
The Orlando Magic have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz has converted 93.8% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Markelle Fultz will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Gabe Vincent is a challenging one; he has allowed a lowly 16.2 points per game when defending opposing starting PGs this year (13th percentile).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Magic.
The matchup vs. Gabe Vincent is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.5 foul shots per game (20th percentile).

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