Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Markelle Fultz has made 43.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 19.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing on the road.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.
Markelle Fultz has attempted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (42.3%).
The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted just 26.4 foul shots per game when the Timberwolves are playing at home this year (least in the league).
Markelle Fultz will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance across the board.