Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has converted 5.0 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.
Markelle Fultz has converted 43.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 16.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The 76ers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been very successful at drawing fouls in recent games: 3rd-best in the league over the last 20 games, totaling 26.6 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 29.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the 76ers have the home court advantage (least in the NBA).
The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the 76ers is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (15.8).
Markelle Fultz will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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