Markelle Fultz Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2022

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 27, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 12.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year with the home court advantage.
Markelle Fultz has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (0th percentile).
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 21.3 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most threes per game in the league since the start of last season on the road (2.2).
The matchup against Russell Westbrook is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted an enormous 16.6 shots made from the field per game (3rd percentile).

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has failed to make 1.2 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's missed overall this season.
While on the road, the Lakers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been poor at getting to the free throw line: 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a lowly 21.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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