Markelle Fultz Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has tallied 4.1 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
The Magic will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Markelle Fultz has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Magic.
The Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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